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The Business Researcher Newsletter |
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February 27, 2006 Volume 9 Number 2 |
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NB: This newsletter is sent out only to those who have requested it. If someone has submitted your e-mail address to us without your permission, please send us an e-mail indicating you would like to unsubscribe at: contact@gdsourcing.com
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Hello, Welcome to the February issue of the BR Newsletter. We continue to strive to upgrade our content and services. This month we migrated our web site to a new server. While the prep work was extensive the actual transfer went remarkably well. If I sound surprised by that fact it is because I, like most entrepreneurs, am suspicious of IT "upgrades" that are "easy" and "seamless". The result of the new server is that the site now loads much faster. The enhanced performance is especially apparent within the Stats Link Canada database. (http://www.statslinkcanada.com) Also new this month is the printer-friendly PDF version
of the BR Newsletter. Many of you have been suggesting this option for
some time so here it is: In future issues the printer-friendly link will appear in the table of content as it does above. I hope you find this issue helpful.
John White
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The following site summaries were added to the GDSourcing web site over the last month.
ISP Planet
Site Summary:
http://www.gdsourcing.ca/works/ISP-Planet.htm
Hill Strategies Research Inc
International Olympic Committee
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The following statistics were released by Statistics Canada over the last month. We have listed those releases we feel are of the most interest to Canadian entrepreneurs. Very few of these
statistics are available on-line. The URL listed is a direct link to the
press release associated with the data. It provides contact and ordering
information.
If you want to purchase
any publication related to these releases please see our web site: We offer a 20% discount on most Stats Can publications and a 10% discount on Stats Can electronic products. For more information you can reach us at contact@gdsourcing.com. Put "StatsCan" in the subject line of your e-mail.
AGRICULTURE
Potato production
2005 (revised)
A
Geographical Profile of Manure Production in Canada, 1981 to 2001
Agriculture value added account 2004 (revised)
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We have all heard the story of the person who found a Picasso at a flee market and sold it for millions but if you are thinking of starting a business in the Second-Hand sector your success will need to be based on more than a lucky find. Any dabbler can make a bit of money buying and selling used merchandise. We have all had the thrill of earning a few dollars from a garage sale. If however your are intent on a successful sustained second-hand merchandise business you need to do your research!
The Second-Hand and Antiques sector in Canada now generates more than $1.4 billion a year in sales. Between 2000 and 2003 it experienced some of its most rapid growth in recent history. Sales grew by 33.2% more than doubling the rate of overall retail growth (15.1%).
Since 2003 however it has slowed dramatically. This short-term "surge and slow" appears to coincide with the initial popularity of online auction sites such as eBay and then the consequent maturing of the online second-hand market. It is worth noting that despite the slowing rate of growth the market gains have not disappeared. Overall second-hand commodity increases are simply more in line now with typical sales growth at second-hand merchandise stores.
Source Statistics Canada
Source Statistics Canada
The financial performance of second-hand merchandise stores has never been particularly spectacular. Since 2000 when store sales grew by 3.4% annual growth rates have dropped below 2%. During that same period the percentage of business that were profitable hovered around 60%, well below the retail average of 68%. Among profitable small second-hand retailers the average annual net profit is $24,500. Entrepreneurs in this sector are generally pursuing a passion as opposed to raw profit. The key to operating a successful second-hand merchandise business is to focus in a specific area. This could be a specific product type, product style, collectible category etc. Start by looking at what your interests are and where your knowledge base lies. The only way to make money at this type of business it to recognize profit opportunities - products that are undervalued which you can then in turn resell for a profit at their true market value. Do not underestimate this skill. It has nothing to do with "lucky finds" and everything to do with knowing where to look, what will sell and when to buy. I have a friend who deals in high-end silver. She watches eBay and estate auctions closely and purchases when she recognizes a profit opportunity. She then resells the items in other off-line auctions or directly to silver dealers and collectors. The business model would not work if she did not have a strong knowledge of silver values both on eBay and among local collectors. The added benefit of specializing is that she has developed a solid reputation within the local market as a reliable source for quality silver. Dealers now often approach her to find product for them. The sale is made before she even buys the item. Once you have determined the types of products you have the greatest understanding of you need to conduct research into those product types. One of the best ways to do this is to look at auction records. Prices captured at auction are generally below retail market value but they can act as a barometer of demand and pricing pressure. All reputable auction houses publish their auction results a few days after an auction has closed. These are made available to anyone who requests them. In some cases it will simply be a printed page with lot numbers and sold prices on it. In this case you will need to view the auction catalogue to know what each lot represents. Some auctions houses however are now posting their results online. Many are integrated with images from the original catalogue which makes researching market demand and valuation extremely easy. For example see the Ritchies web site: http://www.ritchies.com/apps/index.cfm?page=auction.results It provides you with the estimated value as well as the sale price. Lots without a sale price did not sell. You can also view auction results in eBay. Search for the product type you are interested in selling then in the left column search panel click on "Show only: Completed Listings" The results page lets you know how many people bid on items (you will note that many items have 0 bids), whether or not the item sold, the final price, shipping costs and the end date. There is even a feature that lets you "view similar active items", in other words what is currently being bid upon. From these sources you first want to determine whether or not your chosen product types are selling. If they are selling what prices are the items achieving? Are they selling at a price that allows you to have a profit margin high enough to be a viable business model. You also want to figure out what products and product features are attracting the most bids? Profit margins are important but so are rapid turnover rates. They are vital for any type of retail business but especially for second-hand merchandise. No matter how cheaply you source a used product, you do not want to become stuck "storing" it. Storage costs money and will impact your margins and business success. Talk directly to appropriate dealers, vendors and retailers at various venues. Are there certain products types or features that are in demand and selling well. Identify opportunities that exist and that match your expertise. By talking directly to people you are not only researching the market but expanding your business network which in turn will help drive business in the future. If you can source hard to find product that these merchants are looking for they may turn from vital contacts to steady clients. If you are planning on selling a product line that is entirely different to their business, you may be able to secure future referrals from them. Never underestimate the power of networking! Your research should also include the "first-hand" retail environment. In some cases your market will be looking at second-hand merchandise as a cheaper alternative to new. In this case you will want to have an clear understanding of overall demand and current retail prices. In other cases your market will be looking for products that are no longer available in the first-hand market. Again you will want to have knowledge of the first-hand options that might be considered comparable or inferior. For basic information on gift product sales you may find the MarketPulse reports from the Canadian Gift and Tableware Association of some interest. These reports identify trends for specific product types sold at gift stores (e.g. Framed art & prints, photo frames, formal tabletop, collectibles, Canadian-made, figurines, small furniture). Many of these retail products are also sold within the second-hand sector. These reports include information such as the % of gift stores that stock these items, best selling price range by product type, and % of stores that plan to buy more of specific product types in the next 12 months. See: http://www.cgta.org/cgta_retailnews_marketpulse.asp If you are selling non-gift type second-hand merchandise you should look for similar retail reports that are related to the first-hand market. The easiest way to do this beyond first hand knowledge (talking to vendors and suppliers directly) is to use a periodical search. Relevant articles will help to identify key players in the market as well as purchaser participation and trends. You can conduct a periodical search in your local library or via their web site. All you need to access these databases from home is a valid library card. To find your local library on-line see: http://www.collectionscanada.ca/gatepasse/ Used Merchandise stores fall under the NAICS code 453310. This distinct code lets you access appropriate financial benchmarks for this store type. These let you gauge performance against an industry standard or help you to establish reasonable cash flow estimates for a business plan. The Performance Plus web site (http://www.sme.ic.gc.ca) provides 2002 benchmarks for incorporated and unincorporated small businesses. There is no charge to access this data. Canadian Industry Profiles also cover Used Merchandise stores. These profiles provide the most current time series data on business counts and financial performance that are available. For more information see: http://www.gdsourcing.ca/CIP/CIP-44-45.htm Canadian Market Estimates can also be of assistance for two used merchandise categories: Antiques and Collectors' items (e.g., stamps, coins). These reports are based on an annual survey of household spending. They provide insights such as in 2004 households with income over $100,000 a year represented 76.6% of the antique market and that 4.3% of Canadians reported purchasing Collectors' items. For more information see: http://www.gdsourcing.ca/SBDC.htm#CME Prior to 2003, the Canadian Market Estimates reports covered the expenditure category: Used Computer Hardware. If you would like further information on this data please e-mail me at contact@gdsourcing.com In addition to the resources listed above there are a number of niche guides that can assist
you. They cover everything from eBay strategies Serious money can be made by serious entrepreneurs in the second-hand sector. You need a passion for knowledge and the drive to pursue it. Like any business venture thorough research is vital.
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Competitive Intelligence is a vital part of business research. According to a Statistics Canada study, one of the major factors that contributes to the failure of new micro businesses in Canada is underestimating the strengths and market share of your competitors. If you are importing products into Canada, the Industry Canada Importer Database can be a useful research tool for competitive intelligence. (http://strategis.gc.ca/sc_mrkti/cid/engdoc/index.html) It provides a list of the top 80% (in terms of $ value) of companies importing goods into Canada, by product, by city and by country of origin. It also identifies market concentration which is the number of businesses that make up various percentage shares of the overall import value. For example the following market concentration table is
provided for the product grouping:
In other words 3 companies account for 44.81% of the total import market for this product. This helps you to identify whether your marketplace is dominated by a few companies or whether concentration is less pronounced. The report also lists the following companies as making up the top 80% of businesses in this product grouping:
You will note that the information about the companies is limited. No financial nor import share detail is provided. These companies, listed alphabetically, simply represent 80% of the import market. The reason for the suppression is primarily to protect confidentiality. Despite the scant detail however this is still a valuable competitor list as it identifies the key players in the marketplace. The Importer Database also allows you to search by product and country of origin. So for example if you want to know the top companies importing Electric Toy Trains from the U.K. the Importer Database tells us that the total value imported from the U.K. in 2004 was $344,254 and the top 80% of importers were:
The product detail is provided at a 6 and 10-digit HS level. If you are not familiar with the HS coding system, the database allows you to search by keyword at a 6-digit level. Make sure that once you click on an appropriate 6-digit code you also click on the "Drill down to HS10 product code level" button. It will let you know what further product detail is available. With the plastic flower pot example above we started with the HS-6 code 392490 - Household & Toilet Articles NES - of Plastic. We then drilled down to 3924900040 - Flower pots, of plastic. If you are still uncomfortable with HS codes look at the
About Product Codes section: The Importer Database can also be used to identify the top 80% of importers by city or by country of product origin. This portion of the database however does not include product detail. It is only useful if you want to identify the top importers within a certain jurisdiction or from a specific region. So for example the total value of imports by companies based in Welland, Ontario is $213.2 Million. The top 80% companies are:
A similar report could be generated to determine for example the top companies importing from Argentina. This resource does not provide you with all the competitive intelligence you will need to succeed as an importer or wholesaler. It does however provide you with a good starting point. Now that you know who the major players are you can use readily accessible resources such as the Internet, periodical databases and publicly available financial information (e.g. SEDAR: http://www.sedar.com) to start researching the individual companies directly.
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Each Business Researcher Newsletter ends with a collection of five statistics related to Canadian small businesses.
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G D S O U R C I N G - R E S E A
R C H & R E T R I E V A L |
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Copyright 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 GDSourcing - Research & Retrieval. All rights reserved. You may circulate this newsletter freely as long as GDSourcing is clearly credited as the source. We encourage people to subscribe directly. There is no charge for this newsletter. A subscription form is available at http://www.gdsourcing.ca/newsletter.htm
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